October 7

Hurricane Joaquin Tracking Toward Spain?!?

Hurricane Joaquin Hurricane Joaquin has been an interesting storm since it first formed in the Atlantic Basin east of the Bahama Islands. Initial forecasts had Joaquin lifting north along the East Coast as a fairly weak hurricane, however, it intensified to a major category 4 storm and nestled in over the Bahamas for a couple/few days with strong winds and heavy rain. Interestingly, Joaquin headed out to sea, away from the East Coast and made a close encounter with Bermuda a few days later. As of early Wednesday, Joaquin was still a low end category 1 storm with winds of...

October 5

Historic Flash Flooding Continues in the Carolinas Today

Historic Flooding This picture from the Lexington, SC Police Department shows how extensive some of the flooding was after historic rainfall this weekend. This particular picture was taken at the Gibson Pond and Park, which shows a significant amount of damage and standing water. Nearly 2ft. of Rain! Thanks to the National Weather Service of out Charleston, WV for the image below, which shows radar estimated rainfall from 8am Thursday to 8AM Sunday. Note that some areas in North and South Carolina saw nearly 20″+ rainfall. Incredibly, there was a report of 24.23″ in Charleston County, SC! “Charleston in South...

October 2

Historic Rain And Flooding Possible Along The East Coast

Follow Meteorologist D.J. Kayser on Twitter (@dkayserwx) or on Facebook (Meteorologist D.J. Kayser). Even though Hurricane Joaquin looks to miss the eastern seaboard, people from Maryland to Georgia are still preparing for the potential of heavy, flooding rains as we go throughout the weekend. Numerous flood watches have already been issued for these areas – in some cases, entire states are under these watches – for the potential of 5-10″ or more over the next few days. In some locations, the rain could be historic for the month of October. Heavy Rain Set Up Over the past few days, we’ve...

October 1

Hurricane Joaquin and Model Uncertainty

Hurricane Joaquin As of early Thursday Hurricane Joaquin was a category 3 hurricane with wind speeds of 125mph. Tracking Joaquin According to NOAA’s NHC, Joaquin is expected to intensify to a category 4 storm in the near future. Note that much of the Bahama Islands are under Hurricane Warnings!   The full forecast from NOAA’s NHC, suggests a close call with the East Coast through early next week.     Model Uncertainty Take a look at all the different model solutions through next week. Interestingly, some hook Joaquin into the Mid-Atlantic Region, while others take it out to sea.  ...

September 30

Joaquin Now A Hurricane – East Coast Impacts?

Follow Meteorologist D.J. Kayser on Twitter (@dkayserwx) or on Facebook (Meteorologist D.J. Kayser). Joaquin became the third hurricane of the 2015 Atlantic season this morning as the pressure continued to drop within the system through the overnight hours and the winds increased to 75 mph as of 8 AM ET. A 55 mile wide eye was also found by Hurricane Hunters this morning on the north side of Joaquin. This storm has its eye on the Bahamas as we head through the next couple days, before taking a turn north – one that, depending on the eventual path, could have...

September 29

East Coast Soaking Rain Into The Weekend

Follow Meteorologist D.J. Kayser on Twitter (@dkayserwx) or on Facebook (Meteorologist D.J. Kayser). While places in the Northeast like New York City are running large rainfall deficits so far this year, they are likely to make up at least a good chunk of it over the next week as a deluge of rain comes for the east coast. The rain will come in two waves – the first, thanks to a cold front and upper level low; the second, due to that front stalling out and added moisture from the Atlantic. First Wave: Tuesday into Wednesday A cold front has...

September 28

Heavy Rain on the way for the Northeast

Drier Today Hope you enjoyed your first weekend of Fall! Many spots across the nation had splendid weather with warmer than normal temps, but it looks like it will be coming to an end this week as a cold front sweeps out of Canada. Several weather features will make for some soggy weather conditions in the Northeast through the week ahead. The hazy image below was from New York where it’ll be mostly dry today. (Image courtesy: Wet Weather on the Way Here’s an overview of what we’ll be dealing with this week as several weather features come together...

September 25

Heavy Mid-Atlantic Rain, Flooding Possible

Nags Head, North Carolina This was the view from Nags Head, North Carolina earlier today as soggy and windy conditions continued to pour in off of the Atlantic. I don’t see much change in the weather anytime soon. Unfortunately, this means heavy rain and flood potential for areas in the Mid-Atlantic region. Radar Earlier Friday Take a look at the radar from earlier Friday, which showed a steady stream of moderate to even heavy rain moving into the coastal communities of North Carolina. Active Flood Concerns The National Weather Service continues a number of flooding headlines along the Eastern Seaboard...

September 24

College Football Week 4: Rain In The Southeast

Follow Meteorologist D.J. Kayser on Twitter (@dkayserwx) or on Facebook (Meteorologist D.J. Kayser). Week four is upon us… and we have two Big Ten teams atop the AP College Football rankings. Who would of thought that would happen? Lets take a look at the football forecast for three Division I games, and my oddball game of the week is looking at a Division III game. Of course, we can’t cover all the games in a post. So, we remind you that you can always check out the forecast for your area over at St. Thomas at Saint John’s (Division...

September 23

Heavy Rain, Flooding Likely In The Upper Midwest Through Thursday

Follow Meteorologist D.J. Kayser on Twitter (@dkayserwx) or on Facebook (Meteorologist D.J. Kayser). Video from @hoffman_alex– near 23rd Ave just west of S. Expressway in Council Bluffs — Tanner Kahler (@tannerkahler) September 23, 2015 The story in the upper Midwest over the next 24-48 hours will be torrential rain and flash flooding. Already this morning radar has estimated over 6″ of rain in the Council Bluffs area. As of 8 AM 4.06″ has fallen in Omaha, NE, making it the third wettest September day on record. As you can see by the video above, that is leading to some...