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May 28

Hurricane Preparedness 101 – Using Drones and Electricity to Make it Rain?

Toasty. Long-range (GFS) guidance for the evening of June 10, low-confidence guidance, suggests sizzling heat for much of the nation, but a developing Omega Block may keep the Pacific Northwest and New England cool and showery. Hurricane Hunter Lockheed WC-130JU.S. Air Force Hurricane 2021: Medical Advice for the Storm, Evacuation and Pandemic. Here is an excerpt of useful advice for people living in Hurricane Alley, courtesy of Tampa Bay Times: “…Evacuation is the pinnacle of hurricane preparedness. Ask yourself the important questions such as: where are you going to go and how are you going to get there? Having options...

May 27

Wet Snow in Late May? Will Hurricanes Further Disrupt Supply Lines – Using GPS Satellites to Alert for Quakes

3km NAM Rainfall by Friday Morningpivotalweather.com Today: The Definition of a Cold Rain May you live in interesting times, the proverb goes. I suspect it’s not a compliment. It may snow a little today, a few fat snowflakes amid chilling sheets of rain. Unusual? You ‘betcha! The record for latest flakes at MSP is May 28, 1965. The reality: snow has been reported (somewhere in Minnesota) every month of the year except July. I’m pretty sure if you go back far enough it has snowed in July, too.<p>It’s not your imagination. Weather extremes are trending more extreme over time, greater...

May 26

Models Predict Toasty Summer – Hottest Spots on Earth – Over 4 Million U.S. Homes Vulnerable to Extensive Flooding

Easing Into Summer. Will NOAA’s climate models nail their prediction of a stinking hot summer? Time will tell, but looking out 2 weeks temperatures across much of the USA are forecast to be well above average. NOAA Climate Prediction Center NOAA Climate Prediction Center NOAA Predicting Warmer Than Average June. At least for northern tier states and much of the western USA. Precipitation over the Upper Midwest is the flip of a coin, with a wet bias east and continued dry bias west of Minnesota. Predicted Summer Temperature AnomaliesNOAA CPC Various Models: Summer Temperature AnomaliesNOAA CPC Summer Models Trending Warmer...

May 25

June Preview – Off-Grid, Climate-Ready Homes – Are Tornado Warnings Still Improving?

Brad Winger Recap of Last Wednesday’s Freakish Tornado Outbreak Far South Metro. Here’s an update from the Twin Cities National Weather Service: “Several low-topped supercells developed along a warm front across Southern Minnesota Wednesday evening, May 19, 2021. Preliminary reports indicate these storms produced 7 short-lived tornadoes across southern Minnesota. Information on the tornadoes is being gathered, and EF-scale ratings and other statistics will be determined once the information is evaluated. This was a marginal CAPE, marginal wind shear environment with low cloud bases. A strengthening low-level jet led to an increase in low-level wind shear. This was able to...

May 21

Flooding Rains Plague Gulf Coast – NOAA Predicts Above Average Atlantic Hurricane Season – Anniversary of Moore, Oklahoma EF-5 Tornado

Paul Douglas Tracking a Welcome Weekend Hot Front Wednesday evening’s freakish tornado outbreak from Owatonna to Lakeville was a rude reminder that unexpected weather can come out of left field (or Iowa) when you least expect it. Conditions for tornadoes were marginal at best. There were no watches in effect. NOAA’s Storm Prediction Center didn’t have southern Minnesota under a “slight risk” of severe storms. But the atmosphere didn’t seem to care, with enough instability and spin to support a tornadic “supercell” thunderstorm pushing up I-35. Take- aways? We know when the atmosphere is ripe for severe. MOST of the...

May 20

Simple Ways to Lower Weather Risk – Tornadoes South of Minneapolis – Flooding Rains Plague Gulf Coast

August 10, 2020Paul Douglas Simple Ways To Lower Weather Risk Somewhere between the “Nanny State” and “Every Man For Himself” is personal responsibility. When it comes to weather threats don’t count on the government or the media to save you. A healthy respect for weather goes a long way. Like going to the basement during a tornado warning. Investing in a $25 NOAA Weather Radio, the only thing that may wake you up at 3am if a tornado is approaching your house. Avoiding lakes, pools and beaches when thunder is audible. Staying hydrated during summer heat. Sunscreen to avoid skin...

May 20

Epic Flooding Hits Louisiana – Lightning Tips – “Mr. Tornado” – EF5 Tornado Drought

NOAA A Very Healthy Respect For Lightning ”Thunder is good, thunder is impressive; but it is lightning that does all the work” wrote Mark Twain. Earth is giant battery, lightning strikes the ground 44 times per second. That equates to 3 million flashes every day. Sometimes people get in the way. Only 10 percent of lightning victims perish – the rest suffer from lifelong neurological problems. There are steps you can take to lower your risk. The “30-30 Rule” comes to mind. If you can count less than 30 seconds between a flash of lightning and bang of thunder, head...

May 19

Lightning Reminders – EF5 Tornado Drought – “Mr. Tornado” – Louisiana Flooding

NOAA A Very Healthy Respect For Lightning ”Thunder is good, thunder is impressive; but it is lightning that does all the work” wrote Mark Twain. Earth is giant battery, lightning strikes the ground 44 times per second. That equates to 3 million flashes every day. Sometimes people get in the way. Only 10 percent of lightning victims perish – the rest suffer from lifelong neurological problems. There are steps you can take to lower your risk. The “30-30 Rule” comes to mind. If you can count less than 30 seconds between a flash of lightning and bang of thunder, head...

May 18

Climate Models Hint at Hot Summer – in Defense of Snow Days – Category 5-Proof Hurricane Home Construction?

Paul Douglas Welcome to Sunscreen Season in Minnesota What do masks, seat belts, guard rails and sunscreen have in common? They all help to lower risk. Skin cancer is the most common cancer in the U.S. 1 in 5 Americans will develop skin cancer by the age of 70. Two people die of skin cancer in the U.S. every hour and having 5 or more sunburns doubles your risk of melanoma, which can prove fatal if not caught early. Just a gentle reminder that for the next 4-5 months you can be sunburnt, even on a cool, cloudy day. Harmful...

May 17

Perils of Weather Modification – Tornado Alley Fizzle – La Nina Fades

All sharing options 3km NAM Future Radar for Todaypivotalweather.com Showery Today – Brighter Weekend Skies I don’t have the time or energy, but made-to- order-weather would be a worthy tech start-up. Schedule showers for farmers on weekdays (preferably at night). Weekend sun for boaters, golfers and bikers. Everyone happy, living in meteorological harmony. Weather modification is more hype than substance; on rare occasions we can nudge Mother Nature by seeding clouds to increase snowfall or rainfall slightly. Changing weather on a large scale is still science fiction, at least in the near term. And any weather-tinkering business would include one...