Articles by Ross Machurick

Historical Weather
February 14

The Power of Historical Weather

by Paul Douglas “Those who cannot learn from history are doomed to repeat it.” – George Santayana Meteorologists are preoccupied with predicting some future state of the atmosphere. Too many days it’s a thankless, seemingly impossible task. To have any real success forecasting the weather it’s essential to look back in time to see what already happened, and why? Our humbling new reality: every storm is different, each weather scenario uniquely challenging. The atmosphere has never been identical to the one outside your window right now. The only way to accurately model the future is to analyze the past, with...

January 17

The Extended Outlook Calls for Real-Time, Streaming Weather Alerts

by Paul Douglas As a meteorologist, one of my daily responsibilities has always been to forecast the weather – both for consumers and businesses alike. When issuing a forecast, I’m free to look at the data and models and issue my own forecast: I can make a subjective prediction that differs from my competitors, or the National Weather Service (NWS). But, the NWS is the ONLY U.S. agency that issues official alerts for threatening weather conditions, in any form. If every forecaster issued their own weather alerts, the result would be chaos, widespread confusion, with a much greater risk of...