Weather

May 20

Simple Ways to Lower Weather Risk – Tornadoes South of Minneapolis – Flooding Rains Plague Gulf Coast

August 10, 2020Paul Douglas Simple Ways To Lower Weather Risk Somewhere between the “Nanny State” and “Every Man For Himself” is personal responsibility. When it comes to weather threats don’t count on the government or the media to save you. A healthy respect for weather goes a long way. Like going to the basement during a tornado warning. Investing in a $25 NOAA Weather Radio, the only thing that may wake you up at 3am if a tornado is approaching your house. Avoiding lakes, pools and beaches when thunder is audible. Staying hydrated during summer heat. Sunscreen to avoid skin...

May 20

Epic Flooding Hits Louisiana – Lightning Tips – “Mr. Tornado” – EF5 Tornado Drought

NOAA A Very Healthy Respect For Lightning ”Thunder is good, thunder is impressive; but it is lightning that does all the work” wrote Mark Twain. Earth is giant battery, lightning strikes the ground 44 times per second. That equates to 3 million flashes every day. Sometimes people get in the way. Only 10 percent of lightning victims perish – the rest suffer from lifelong neurological problems. There are steps you can take to lower your risk. The “30-30 Rule” comes to mind. If you can count less than 30 seconds between a flash of lightning and bang of thunder, head...

May 19

Lightning Reminders – EF5 Tornado Drought – “Mr. Tornado” – Louisiana Flooding

NOAA A Very Healthy Respect For Lightning ”Thunder is good, thunder is impressive; but it is lightning that does all the work” wrote Mark Twain. Earth is giant battery, lightning strikes the ground 44 times per second. That equates to 3 million flashes every day. Sometimes people get in the way. Only 10 percent of lightning victims perish – the rest suffer from lifelong neurological problems. There are steps you can take to lower your risk. The “30-30 Rule” comes to mind. If you can count less than 30 seconds between a flash of lightning and bang of thunder, head...

May 18

Climate Models Hint at Hot Summer – in Defense of Snow Days – Category 5-Proof Hurricane Home Construction?

Paul Douglas Welcome to Sunscreen Season in Minnesota What do masks, seat belts, guard rails and sunscreen have in common? They all help to lower risk. Skin cancer is the most common cancer in the U.S. 1 in 5 Americans will develop skin cancer by the age of 70. Two people die of skin cancer in the U.S. every hour and having 5 or more sunburns doubles your risk of melanoma, which can prove fatal if not caught early. Just a gentle reminder that for the next 4-5 months you can be sunburnt, even on a cool, cloudy day. Harmful...

May 17

Perils of Weather Modification – Tornado Alley Fizzle – La Nina Fades

All sharing options 3km NAM Future Radar for Todaypivotalweather.com Showery Today – Brighter Weekend Skies I don’t have the time or energy, but made-to- order-weather would be a worthy tech start-up. Schedule showers for farmers on weekdays (preferably at night). Weekend sun for boaters, golfers and bikers. Everyone happy, living in meteorological harmony. Weather modification is more hype than substance; on rare occasions we can nudge Mother Nature by seeding clouds to increase snowfall or rainfall slightly. Changing weather on a large scale is still science fiction, at least in the near term. And any weather-tinkering business would include one...

May 13

Penn State: Fewer Atlantic Hurricanes in 2021 – Is Tornado Alley Shifting – Deepening Drought Western U.S.

Severe Threat Increases by Late May. A series of cool frontal passages predicted by NOAA’s GFS model may increase the threat of a few rough T-storms the last week of May with highs in the 70s to near 80F – whicle significant heat stretches from Texas to New England. Severe ClearCSPP GeoSphere 2021 Minnesota Fishing Opener Historical Facts. The Minnesota DNR always does a great job putting weather into context. No ice or flurries for the Opener this year: “Opening day temperatures have started as low as 24 degrees at International Falls (1996,2004), and sub-freezing conditions have even affected Minneapolis...

Fire by the lake
May 12

Limping Into Summer – Deepening Drought Western USA – New Normals – 25th Anniversary of “Twister”, the Movie

Little fire, meet big fire.Paul Douglas It’s May, As In It MAY Warm Up It’s May. As in it MAY be nice. Or it MAY snow a little. Or Flood. Or tornado. May is manic and momentous, a meteorological gateway drug to summer. I’m a summer guy, but there is something to be said for May, before the bugs, jungle-like humidity, sputtering thunderstorms and beachball-size hail. A prologue to summer: a dash of warmth, without all the unpleasant side effects. Mostly-Dry, Mostly-Average Fishing Opener. Although a stray shower can’t be ruled out Saturday, Sunday looks like the wetter day with...

May 11

Summer Outlook: Hotter, Drier Western States – 25th Anniversary of “Twister”

25th Anniversary of “Twister”, The Movie ”Hey Bryce, you better get over here and take a look at this!” 13 words that changed my life forever. Well, not really. That was my line in the movie, “Twister”, which came out 25 years ago. Director Steven Spielberg used software from a previous weather company for “Jurassic Park”. His team reached out again for “Twister” and we created new, tornado and supercell-centric graphics and special effects for control room scenes. I was drafted to have a line in the movie, and I wasn’t about to say no. The weather control room shots...

Maersk line
May 10

Climate Volatility and Weather Extremes Threaten the World’s Shipping Routes

Feature Image credit: Maersk and Wikipedia. “The sea, once it casts its spell, holds one in its net of wonder forever.” wrote explorer Jacques Cousteau. The world’s oceans are a wonder indeed, but rising tides, increasingly powerful storms and wind-whipped waves pose new risks for the ships that power the world’s economies. An estimated 80% of the world’s commerce arrives by ship, an estimated 50,000 merchant ships registered in nearly 150 countries. Tracking changes in weather for optimal routing and storm-avoidance has never been more mission-critical to keep the global economy humming along. Maritime Transport Operators increasingly rely on sophisticated...

May 3

What is a “Mesocyclone”? Lingering Confusion Over “Watches” vs. “Warnings” – Flood Risk Impact on Home Values

Header Image: Docks In By Late April?Paul Douglas Summer Heat Building Gulf Coast. Looking out 2 weeks GFS guidance shows a series of annoyingly persistent cool fronts impacting the northern tier of the USA, while the start of what looks like an early summer heatwave is taking shape over the southern U.S. 8th Cloudiest April Since 1963 at MSP.Minnesota State Climatology Office “Mescocyclone”NOAA What is a Mesocyclone? Not your generic, garden-variety thundershower. Meteorologist Brad Panovich at WCNC.com explains: “…A mesocyclone is not something you hear all the time, but when your local Meteorologist says it, that likely means there is...