Blog

pauldouglas_1602602531_usa temps Oct 20-26
October 14

NOAA: 85% Chance of La Nina Winter – No Correlation Between October Cold Snaps and Winters To Follow

Graphic credit: Minnesota DNR. Does Snow in October Mean We’re In For a Rough Winter? The short answer is no. And The Minnesota DNR has the data to back that up: “…So, do early snows tell us anything about the coming winter? In short, no. It appears that an October snow is just an October snow, and has no bearing on the remainder of winter. From 1884 through 2019, 45 out of 136 Octobers in the Twin Cities have seen at least one day with measurable snow. The winters that followed those instances of snowfall have spanned nearly the entire...

Lightning forks over the San Francisco-Oakland Bay Bridge as a storm passes over Oakland, Calif., Sunday, Aug. 16, 2020. Numerous lightning strikes early Sunday sparked brush fires throughout the region. (AP Photo/Noah Berger)
October 13

Major Hurricane “Delta” Heading Toward Louisiana – New Record Possible for Fewest U.S. Lightning Deaths in 2020?

Intermediate Briefing: Issued late Thursday afternoon, October 8, 2020: Key Points: – Hurricane “Delta” is the 6th tropical system to impact Louisiana in 2020, hitting roughly the same area impacted severely by Hurricane Laura in late August. – Hurricane Delta has strengthened back into a Category 3 storm, growing larger over time with a broad windfield and significant storm surge. – Although not as severe as Hurricane Laura, Hurricane Delta will cause very considerable coastal storm surge flooding as well as flash flooding hundreds of miles inland after landfall in the next 72 hours. – Hurricane Delta is the 5th...

homes in Louisiana destroyed by hurricane delta
October 12

Hurricane Delta May Hit Louisiana as Category 3 – 16 Billion-Dollar Disasters So Far in 2020

NOAA: 16 Separate Billion-Dollar Disasters So Far in 2020 Don’t let anyone living in Louisiana ever give you a hard time about Minnesota weather. Hurricane Delta will be the 6th tropical system in 2020 to impact Louisiana, still recovering from Hurricane Laura’s aftermath in late August. “Delta” will come ashore along the Louisiana coastline late Friday as a major, Category 3 storm, with sustained winds of 120 mph. According to NOAA, there have been 16 billion-dollar disasters in the USA in 2020, 6 of those since June. From unprecedented western fires to hurricanes to 140 mph gusts from an August...

Delta-Oct-6-2020
October 8

Major Hurricane Delta Threatens Gulf Coast – Can Songbirds Predict Hurricane Energy Potential?

  Hurricane Delta Threatens Gulf Coast “Paul, has a hurricane named after the Greek alphabet ever been retired?” According to the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) that has never happened – and no, any Greek name would be reused in the future. Why is this even relevant? Hurricane “Delta” may deliver a devastating blow to Cancun today before curving north, coming ashore as a major (Category 3+) storm over coastal Louisiana or Texas Friday night. Many small towns in Louisiana still haven’t recovered from Hurricane Laura, which roared ashore August 26. “Delta” is the 25th named storm of 2020. The all-time...

fall-color-Pete-Pequot-header
October 7

Colder, Snowier La Nina Winter? ECMWF Disagrees. Hurricane Delta Threatens Gulf Coast

Fine Fall Weather Into The Weekend “October was always the least dependable of months, full of ghosts and shadows” wrote Canadian novelist Joy Fielding. True, October can be a dark, turbulent, windblown month, but if you’re not a fan of freezes and flakes I have a sneaky suspicion you’re going to like this month more than usual. NOAA is calling for a La Nina winter, which often favors more snow for Minnesota. But the latest January forecast from ECMWF (European model) predicts record warmth for the lower 48 states in January 2021. Place your bets, but it may not be...

Sprinkler system watering yard
October 7

Rachio Added to PWSweather Integrations Center

As we’ve shared before, AerisWeather has relaunched PWSweather with a fresh new look and additional functionality this year. With a rapidly growing station network, we’re excited to announce our new Integrations Center which will highlight the countless applications that permit personal weather station (PWS) owners to take the data collected right in their back yard and pipe it directly into their weather-inclusive app of choice. Today, we’re excited to announce the first entry to the list: Rachio! What is Rachio? Rachio produces Smart Irrigation Controllers and natural lawn care treatments. Whether you have a beautiful lawn or keep a couple...

Fall Bear Island Lake montage Dave Lankinen
October 6

2020 U.S. Tropical Cyclone Landfalls – 20 Largest California Wildfires on Record

  Bursting Our Bubble. After a mild run between roughly October 8-15 GFS guidance suggests a series of cooler fronts as we push into the third week of October – no brutal cold (yet) but a series of (minor) cool frontal passages. California, Wildfires Prompt New Warnings Amid Record Heat, Erratic Winds. Capital Weather Gang has details and perspective: “…California is in the midst of its worst wildfire season on record, with more than 3.9 million acres burned, and five of the Top 20 largest wildfires in state history taking place this year. Scientists say California’s 2020 fire season, and...

California Wildfires
October 5

NOAA Turns 50 – Are US Power Outages Increasing – Western Infernos

NOAA Turns 50! We can debate which weather models are more accurate, but there’s little doubt (in my mind, at least) that America has the best weather service on the planet. Kudos to the men and women of NOAA who keep us informed, in good weather and bad. Details via NOAA: “Since its inception in 1970, NOAA has evolved into one of the world’s premier science organizations with a mission that spans from the surface of the sun to the floor of the ocean. Our work is incredibly diverse, and it’s difficult to capture everything we do in one place....

cansips_T2ma_namer_1_header
October 2

Are Long Range Forecasts Getting Better? California Glass Fire Incinerating 1 Acre Every 5 Seconds

A Hopeful Forecast: More Accurate Long-Term Weather Predictions. Good news (for people living in the tropics) but pesky chaos theory quickly comes into play – don’t get your hopes too high too fast. The New York Times (paywall) reports; here’s an excerpt: “...In the ’90s, we had almost no satellite observations in the southern hemisphere,” she said. “Since then, the number and quality of satellite observations has increased substantially,” so our ability to make accurate forecasts in the southern hemisphere is almost as good as in the northern hemisphere. Additionally, the global weather models that are now in development can...

October 1

New Weather Conditions Summary Endpoint

We’ve recently released our new weather conditions endpoint, which includes significant improvements since we first released it in beta. And to complement the conditions endpoint, we are announcing our new conditions/summary endpoint! What are condition summaries? The core conditions endpoint provides global, gap-free weather conditions for a specific point in time or on hourly intervals. However, you may prefer a summary of weather conditions over time, such as a day’s minimum and maximum values. This use-case is perfect for the conditions summary dataset. The conditions/summary endpoint can provide daily summaries or summaries over custom time ranges, such as over a...