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Jonesboro Tornado
June 8

Expanding Heat – Expanding Drought – Hurricane Tools – Shift in Tornado Alley?

NOAA Welcome to the Dog Days of June ”It’s so hot your clothes iron themselves.” “Wait, it’s so hot they installed a fan in the debt ceiling!” True story. From a Polar Vortex in February to the Vegas Vortex in June, all signs point to an unusually hot and dry summer. This is just the first wave. For the record, June brings an average of 3 days of 90s. We’re about to experience 9 days of 90s in a row, for the first time in 5 years. If anyone asks, July is still the hottest month of the year. This...

June 4

Western Heat Wave Expands North and East – Most Critical Weather Forecast of WWII

NOAA The First Heat Wave of Summer is Here Men will sweat. Women will glow. Dogs will pant. Cats won’t care. An antiperspirant airmass pushes into Minnesota on a gusty, blast-furnace breeze, pushing the mercury into the mid to upper 90s the next few days. That’s 120-140 degrees warmer than it was just 4 months ago, during The February of Our Discontent. All-time temperature records will be set. Today’s record at MSP is 96F (possible) but tomorrow’s record high on 92 will be broken by lunchtime. I would not be surprised to see 100-degree heat north and west of the...

June 2

Heat Wave Building – Hottest Spot on Earth – Hurricane and Derecho Season Begins

ECMWF Temperature Anomaly (F) from June 4-11.weatherbell.com A July-Like Hot Front Is Shaping Up I don’t mind the heat at all. Then again, I can go indoors and fall asleep in air conditioned comfort – or go jump in a lake, as I’m encouraged to do frequently. Where can I enjoy the most extreme heat on Planet Earth? I sell my condo in Death Valley, California and purchase a cheap timeshare in Iran’s Lut Desert to experience otherworldly heat. A recent analysis of satellite data shows this salt desert in eastern Iran has seen temperatures as high as 177.4F, the...

June 2

Drought Intensifies Western USA – Heat Forecast to Build – Will 5G Improve Severe Storm Warnings?

Jeff Berardelli, Twitter NOAA, CBS News NOAA, CBS News Slow Simmer. June will be a hot month for most of the nation, a little relief predicted for the Pacific Northwest by mid-month, but most of the United States will be united in our need for air conditioning and large, cool bodies of water. NOAA NOAA 2020 HurricanesNOAA Hurricane Special: National Storm Surge Forecast Model Updated, Increases Time Needed in Case of Evacuation. CBS Miami has news of upgraded storm surge predictions coming for the 2021 hurricane season; here’s an excerpt: “…There are parts of southern Dade, a storm surge can...

May 28

Hurricane Preparedness 101 – Using Drones and Electricity to Make it Rain?

Toasty. Long-range (GFS) guidance for the evening of June 10, low-confidence guidance, suggests sizzling heat for much of the nation, but a developing Omega Block may keep the Pacific Northwest and New England cool and showery. Hurricane Hunter Lockheed WC-130JU.S. Air Force Hurricane 2021: Medical Advice for the Storm, Evacuation and Pandemic. Here is an excerpt of useful advice for people living in Hurricane Alley, courtesy of Tampa Bay Times: “…Evacuation is the pinnacle of hurricane preparedness. Ask yourself the important questions such as: where are you going to go and how are you going to get there? Having options...

May 27

Wet Snow in Late May? Will Hurricanes Further Disrupt Supply Lines – Using GPS Satellites to Alert for Quakes

3km NAM Rainfall by Friday Morningpivotalweather.com Today: The Definition of a Cold Rain May you live in interesting times, the proverb goes. I suspect it’s not a compliment. It may snow a little today, a few fat snowflakes amid chilling sheets of rain. Unusual? You ‘betcha! The record for latest flakes at MSP is May 28, 1965. The reality: snow has been reported (somewhere in Minnesota) every month of the year except July. I’m pretty sure if you go back far enough it has snowed in July, too.<p>It’s not your imagination. Weather extremes are trending more extreme over time, greater...

May 26

Models Predict Toasty Summer – Hottest Spots on Earth – Over 4 Million U.S. Homes Vulnerable to Extensive Flooding

Easing Into Summer. Will NOAA’s climate models nail their prediction of a stinking hot summer? Time will tell, but looking out 2 weeks temperatures across much of the USA are forecast to be well above average. NOAA Climate Prediction Center NOAA Climate Prediction Center NOAA Predicting Warmer Than Average June. At least for northern tier states and much of the western USA. Precipitation over the Upper Midwest is the flip of a coin, with a wet bias east and continued dry bias west of Minnesota. Predicted Summer Temperature AnomaliesNOAA CPC Various Models: Summer Temperature AnomaliesNOAA CPC Summer Models Trending Warmer...

May 25

June Preview – Off-Grid, Climate-Ready Homes – Are Tornado Warnings Still Improving?

Brad Winger Recap of Last Wednesday’s Freakish Tornado Outbreak Far South Metro. Here’s an update from the Twin Cities National Weather Service: “Several low-topped supercells developed along a warm front across Southern Minnesota Wednesday evening, May 19, 2021. Preliminary reports indicate these storms produced 7 short-lived tornadoes across southern Minnesota. Information on the tornadoes is being gathered, and EF-scale ratings and other statistics will be determined once the information is evaluated. This was a marginal CAPE, marginal wind shear environment with low cloud bases. A strengthening low-level jet led to an increase in low-level wind shear. This was able to...

May 21

Flooding Rains Plague Gulf Coast – NOAA Predicts Above Average Atlantic Hurricane Season – Anniversary of Moore, Oklahoma EF-5 Tornado

Paul Douglas Tracking a Welcome Weekend Hot Front Wednesday evening’s freakish tornado outbreak from Owatonna to Lakeville was a rude reminder that unexpected weather can come out of left field (or Iowa) when you least expect it. Conditions for tornadoes were marginal at best. There were no watches in effect. NOAA’s Storm Prediction Center didn’t have southern Minnesota under a “slight risk” of severe storms. But the atmosphere didn’t seem to care, with enough instability and spin to support a tornadic “supercell” thunderstorm pushing up I-35. Take- aways? We know when the atmosphere is ripe for severe. MOST of the...

May 20

Simple Ways to Lower Weather Risk – Tornadoes South of Minneapolis – Flooding Rains Plague Gulf Coast

August 10, 2020Paul Douglas Simple Ways To Lower Weather Risk Somewhere between the “Nanny State” and “Every Man For Himself” is personal responsibility. When it comes to weather threats don’t count on the government or the media to save you. A healthy respect for weather goes a long way. Like going to the basement during a tornado warning. Investing in a $25 NOAA Weather Radio, the only thing that may wake you up at 3am if a tornado is approaching your house. Avoiding lakes, pools and beaches when thunder is audible. Staying hydrated during summer heat. Sunscreen to avoid skin...