Tag: aerisweather blog

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October 30

2020: Most Billion-Dollar Disasters on Record for USA – Quiet Election Day for Most of USA

Election Day Weather Preview. Most of the USA is forecast to have a quiet, relatively mild Tuesday. The only exceptions: rain for the Pacific Northwest and cold winds and snow showers and flurries across New England. Zonal Flow Spills into Mid-November? GFS guidance is a bit contradictory. The forecast for 500mb winds roughly 2 weeks out shows more of a Pacific influence, keeping temperatures close to average across most of the USA, maybe a few degrees below average for Minnesota as we end out the second week of November. Briefing: Issued Thursday, October 29th, 2020: Tropical Storm Zeta Zeta Moving...

Hurricane Zeta cover
October 29

Indian Summer Next Week – “Zeta” Hits Louisiana – Why Most Flood Risk Isn’t Disclosed

Cooling Off Mid-November. After an unusually mild start to November, GFS guidance shows a return to average or cooler than average by mid-month. Nothing like last week, but jacket weather. Which sounds about right for mid-November. Briefing: Issued Wednesday, October 28th, 2020: Hurricane Zeta Zeta Strengthening. Zeta has been strengthening through the overnight hours, and as of 7 AM CT, Zeta had sustained winds of 90 mph, making it a Category 1 hurricane. Hurricane-force winds extend out up to 35 miles from the center with tropical-storm-force winds extending outward to 150 miles. The center of Zeta was located about 265...

moon NOAA
October 28

Orange County Blazes – Ice Storm Paralyzes Oklahoma – “Zeta” Threatens New Orleans

Forecast: Full Moon on Halloween. Technically it’s a “Hunter’s Moon”. USA TODAY has details: “Halloween night will feature the moon event of the year. For the first time in decades, there will be a full moon visible across the entire U.S. on Halloween night, Oct. 31. The last time that a full moon was seen in all U.S. time zones on Halloween was 1944, according to the Farmers’ Almanac. The next time we’ll see an equally spooky Halloween full moon is 2039, so plan your werewolf costumes accordingly. The Halloween full moon is also known as a “blue” moon because it’s the...

October 16

NASA: Warmest September on Record, Worldwide – Hurricane Delta By the Numbers

Frost, Freeze and Flakes? Here We Go “Cold! If the thermometer had been an inch longer we’d have frozen to death” wrote Mark Twain. I’m not suprised or offended temperatures are tumbling. Considering the sun is as high in the sky today as it was back on February 24 we shouldn’t be the least bit surprised Canadian air is rushing south of the border. It’s not an exaggeration to say the next week or so will look and feel more like early November. Wind chill is back, and a light mix of rain and snow can’t be ruled out early...

pauldouglas_1602602531_usa temps Oct 20-26
October 14

NOAA: 85% Chance of La Nina Winter – No Correlation Between October Cold Snaps and Winters To Follow

Graphic credit: Minnesota DNR. Does Snow in October Mean We’re In For a Rough Winter? The short answer is no. And The Minnesota DNR has the data to back that up: “…So, do early snows tell us anything about the coming winter? In short, no. It appears that an October snow is just an October snow, and has no bearing on the remainder of winter. From 1884 through 2019, 45 out of 136 Octobers in the Twin Cities have seen at least one day with measurable snow. The winters that followed those instances of snowfall have spanned nearly the entire...

Lightning forks over the San Francisco-Oakland Bay Bridge as a storm passes over Oakland, Calif., Sunday, Aug. 16, 2020. Numerous lightning strikes early Sunday sparked brush fires throughout the region. (AP Photo/Noah Berger)
October 13

Major Hurricane “Delta” Heading Toward Louisiana – New Record Possible for Fewest U.S. Lightning Deaths in 2020?

Intermediate Briefing: Issued late Thursday afternoon, October 8, 2020: Key Points: – Hurricane “Delta” is the 6th tropical system to impact Louisiana in 2020, hitting roughly the same area impacted severely by Hurricane Laura in late August. – Hurricane Delta has strengthened back into a Category 3 storm, growing larger over time with a broad windfield and significant storm surge. – Although not as severe as Hurricane Laura, Hurricane Delta will cause very considerable coastal storm surge flooding as well as flash flooding hundreds of miles inland after landfall in the next 72 hours. – Hurricane Delta is the 5th...

homes in Louisiana destroyed by hurricane delta
October 12

Hurricane Delta May Hit Louisiana as Category 3 – 16 Billion-Dollar Disasters So Far in 2020

NOAA: 16 Separate Billion-Dollar Disasters So Far in 2020 Don’t let anyone living in Louisiana ever give you a hard time about Minnesota weather. Hurricane Delta will be the 6th tropical system in 2020 to impact Louisiana, still recovering from Hurricane Laura’s aftermath in late August. “Delta” will come ashore along the Louisiana coastline late Friday as a major, Category 3 storm, with sustained winds of 120 mph. According to NOAA, there have been 16 billion-dollar disasters in the USA in 2020, 6 of those since June. From unprecedented western fires to hurricanes to 140 mph gusts from an August...

Delta-Oct-6-2020
October 8

Major Hurricane Delta Threatens Gulf Coast – Can Songbirds Predict Hurricane Energy Potential?

  Hurricane Delta Threatens Gulf Coast “Paul, has a hurricane named after the Greek alphabet ever been retired?” According to the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) that has never happened – and no, any Greek name would be reused in the future. Why is this even relevant? Hurricane “Delta” may deliver a devastating blow to Cancun today before curving north, coming ashore as a major (Category 3+) storm over coastal Louisiana or Texas Friday night. Many small towns in Louisiana still haven’t recovered from Hurricane Laura, which roared ashore August 26. “Delta” is the 25th named storm of 2020. The all-time...

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October 7

Colder, Snowier La Nina Winter? ECMWF Disagrees. Hurricane Delta Threatens Gulf Coast

Fine Fall Weather Into The Weekend “October was always the least dependable of months, full of ghosts and shadows” wrote Canadian novelist Joy Fielding. True, October can be a dark, turbulent, windblown month, but if you’re not a fan of freezes and flakes I have a sneaky suspicion you’re going to like this month more than usual. NOAA is calling for a La Nina winter, which often favors more snow for Minnesota. But the latest January forecast from ECMWF (European model) predicts record warmth for the lower 48 states in January 2021. Place your bets, but it may not be...

Sprinkler system watering yard
October 7

Rachio Added to PWSweather Integrations Center

As we’ve shared before, AerisWeather has relaunched PWSweather with a fresh new look and additional functionality this year. With a rapidly growing station network, we’re excited to announce our new Integrations Center which will highlight the countless applications that permit personal weather station (PWS) owners to take the data collected right in their back yard and pipe it directly into their weather-inclusive app of choice. Today, we’re excited to announce the first entry to the list: Rachio! What is Rachio? Rachio produces Smart Irrigation Controllers and natural lawn care treatments. Whether you have a beautiful lawn or keep a couple...