Tag: flood risk

March 25

Tornado Potential Dixie Alley Today – “La Nina” Increasing Risk? – Lower River Flooding Risk – 2021 Hurricane Names

Perfectly fine with this…Twin Cities National Weather Service Imperfect Meteorology – But Fewer Surprises ”Perfection is not attainable, but if we chase perfection we can catch excellence” said Vince Lombardi. We want perfection in an imperfect world. Meteorology is no exception. Forecasts are far from perfect but we experience fewer (unpleasant) surprises than we did 50 years ago. How so? From floods and hurricanes to major tornado outbreaks, forecasters do a demonstrably better job setting consumer expectations. Fewer reports of “It came without any warning!” Technology, including Doppler radar and weather models, are improving. NOAA just launched an upgrade for...

January 13

Sliding Into a Snowier, Colder Pattern – Using Models to Track Wildfire Smoke

Weather-Related Mental Health Break It is such a relief talking about the weather these days. Even “bad weather” is a welcome break from pandemics and civil unrest. We are extras in a bad Tom Clancy thriller, one that almost makes me long for the good ‘ol days of 2020. Not really. My late mom was a glass-half- full woman. During of our most difficult times growing up she would say “No storm lasts forever. A rainbow always reappears.” Good news can’t arrive soon enough. 18Z Tuesday ECMWF Snowfall Predictionweatherbell.com ECMWF Snowier Than NOAA Models. NOAA’s various NAM models are hinting...