Tag: hurricanes

Chairs on a beach facing the water at sunset, docks in the background. Image by Paul Douglas.
September 30

Dangerous Air: Wildfire Smoke and Dangerous PM2.5 Increasing Plains to West Coast Since 2016

A magnificent meteorological mirage…Paul Douglas Exposure To Wildfire Smoke Is A Health Risk What happens in Vegas doesn’t stay in Vegas, and the recent swirl of western wildfire smoke didn’t stay in California. New research shows an average of 8-10 weeks of smoke every year in Minnesota between 2016 and 2020. This past summer was Exhibit A, both eye-opening and eye- watering. A few nearby towns experienced air quality worse than Beijing or New Delhi. Which has me thinking about masks and air filtration systems at home and in our vehicles. PM2.5 pollution is especially dangerous, responsible for over 4...

Exxon station damaged by Hurricane Ida by John Taggart for The New York Times
September 21

Consensus of Climate Models Predicts Mild Bias Into December

  A Handful of Cooler Fronts In Sight – Mild Bias into December? The only predictable thing is change. our weather patterns are changing, with longer growing seasons and fickle winters with brief, concentrated polar blasts. Wets are wetter and dries are trending drier. I am cautiously optimistic the pattern that brought us a hot and dusty summer is finally easing. But pulling out of the drought will take months, not weeks or days. Think dimmer switch, not on-off. NOAA’s climate models show a mild bias lingering into December, and I have every reason to believe Minnesotans will enjoy a...

Dixie Fire damage - Noah Berger, AP
September 9

NOAA Climate Models Predict Milder Autumn – Tracking Fall Warming Trends Over the Years

Septembers Tend To Be Quiet in Minnesota Ah, September. The biggest weather-related questions are: 1). When will we check out a kaleidoscope of dazzling fall color? and 2). Shorts or jackets? June brides should consider the month of September, when Mother Nature is (usually) on her best behavior. This summer we all got a front row seat to the New Normal: wilting drought, fire and smoke from Minnesota westward to the Pacific. Tornadoes in unlikely places (New Jersey) and epic floods from the Gulf Coast to the East Coast. I’m hoping we all get a nice, long break before frozen...

Earth from Space via NASA ISS
September 8

Europe Experiences Warmest Summer on Record – How Climate Warming Super-Sized “Ida” – 1 in 3 Americans Experienced a Climate Disaster This Summer

Paul Douglas In Praise Of Our Favorite Teachers We are the sum of the people we’ve met and the experiences we have had. I owe my meteorology career to weather merit badge in the Boy Scouts, a tropical storm that flooded the home I grew up in, and a series of remarkable teachers. I remember their names, faces and continuous encouragement. Mr. Batzer and Mr. Danner were science teachers who turned the weather unit into an event. Mrs. Eisenhart was an advanced placement English teacher who admonished me to use “action words”. As we start the new school year a...

September 6

Category 3 “Larry” Brushes Bermuda – Most Climate-Safe US State?

Paul Douglas Minnesota May Benefit From Slow Warming A recent study suggests that Vermont is the most “climate-safe” state in the US. That may be so, but I suspect Minnesota will get its fair share of climate refugees in years to come. How so? Californians worried about wildfires and months of choking smoke. Arizonans concerned about hotter hots and water shortages. Residents of the Gulf Coast unable or unwilling to put up with a parade of increasingly intense and wet hurricanes. Minnesotans will still wrestle with snow, ice and polar pops, but in the Pantheon of Weather Extremes slapping on...

Hurricane Henri Approaching the Northeast
August 26

Querying for Historical Tropical Cyclone Data with the AerisWeather API

As Hurricane Henri approached the Northeastern US this past weekend, I wondered how often a tropical cyclone has come within 50 miles of New York City, Boston, or other cities. How many were hurricanes? To answer these questions, we can use the Tropical Cyclones Archive endpoint within the AerisWeather API. This endpoint provides access to the complete AerisWeather historical archive for tropical systems, with data from the late 1800s for the Atlantic basin and the mid-1900s for the Pacific basin. When using the tropical cyclones archive endpoint, we find that 21 tropical cyclones have tracked within 50 miles of New York...

August 24

Deadly Flooding Legacy of “Henri” – Southwest USA’s Most Important River is Drying Up

At the end of the rainbow is a billboard?Paul Douglas Putting a Few Dents In Our Drought Mother Nature is extra-loopy this summer. Now that it’s late August the pattern looks like something I’d expect to see in early June: waves of warm fronts lapping north, each one accompanied by an outbreak of mostly nocturnal thunderstorms. There is a very good chance red blobs will freckle the Doppler today, again Friday, again Saturday night, followed by clearing on Sunday. I’m cautiously optimistic many thirsty lawns and fields will pick up 1-2 inches of rain today, but your results may vary....

August 17

Origin of “Dog Days” – Smoky US Summers On Increase Since 2016

Welcome to the Dog Days of Summer We get a whiff of Dog Days this week as daytime highs flirt with 90 degrees through Friday. Dog Days have nothing to do with an urge to pant or beg for treats, and everything to do with Sirius, the dog star – brightest in the nighttime sky. Ancient Greeks thought the star added to the heat of the sun, resulting in unbearable August heat. Of course it doesn’t quite work like that. Hazy, smoky sunshine lingers much of this week with thicker smoke the farther north and west you travel away from...

August 13

Adding Custom Styles to the Tropical Cyclone Module

With Tropical Storm Fred threatening the Gulf Coast states and peak hurricane season just around the corner, now is a great time to discuss how to take your hurricane tracking to the next level by adding custom styles to the Tropical Cyclone module on the AerisWeather JavaScript SDK. The AerisWeather JavaScript SDK has a plethora of features. The InteractiveMapApp allows you to plot weather data on an interactive map easily and comes with several built-in modules which can simplify the plotting of weather data. The Tropical Cyclone Module provides users with predefined styling and functionality for plotting various tropical cyclones endpoint-related data layers.  While these default styles may suffice for most...

Man standing on dock at lake
June 14

Using Drones to Improve Hurricane Forecasts – Capturing Floodwaters Can Reduce Drought Impacts

Header Image: Paul Douglas Lake Effect Old Fashioned A/C. Cool water in Lake Superior kicked off a little reverse-lake effect a few days ago, the leading edge of this relief-front lake-breeze pushing a wall of insects and dust inland, showing up on Doppler radar (above). During the day the land heads up rapidly, pulling chilly air as much as 50-75 miles inland. NOAA hopes to test the ALTIUS-600 in hurricanes this season.AREA-I, WRDW Georgia-Made Drones to Help Improve Hurricane Forecasting. Here’s an excerpt from a post at WRDW.com: “…NOAA has been working on this technology with NASA since 2004. The latest...