Tag: minnesota weather

A view of the ExxonMobil Baton Rouge Refinery as seen from the surrounding neighborhood in Baton Rouge, Louisiana, U.S., May 15, 2021. Picture taken May 15, 2021. REUTERS/Kathleen Flynn
June 2

Amazon Pitching In for Hurricane Season – Derecho Season – Summer Climate Trends

Simmering, Sizzling Weekend Heat Spike ”It’s not the heat, it’s the humility.” Close enough for a meteorologist. On Twitter Thomas Braun reminded me that we are the Florida of Canada. Good point. I’ve often wondered if Canadians complain about “hot, American air” this time of year? A notable heat spike is on the way. Friday and Saturday look like the hottest days in sight. Mid 90s will be commonplace; record territory for many cities across the Upper Midwest. International Falls saw 35F and flurries last Wednesday. On Saturday the daytime high at INL is forecast to be a blazing 98F....

May 26

Models Predict Toasty Summer – Hottest Spots on Earth – Over 4 Million U.S. Homes Vulnerable to Extensive Flooding

Easing Into Summer. Will NOAA’s climate models nail their prediction of a stinking hot summer? Time will tell, but looking out 2 weeks temperatures across much of the USA are forecast to be well above average. NOAA Climate Prediction Center NOAA Climate Prediction Center NOAA Predicting Warmer Than Average June. At least for northern tier states and much of the western USA. Precipitation over the Upper Midwest is the flip of a coin, with a wet bias east and continued dry bias west of Minnesota. Predicted Summer Temperature AnomaliesNOAA CPC Various Models: Summer Temperature AnomaliesNOAA CPC Summer Models Trending Warmer...

May 25

June Preview – Off-Grid, Climate-Ready Homes – Are Tornado Warnings Still Improving?

Brad Winger Recap of Last Wednesday’s Freakish Tornado Outbreak Far South Metro. Here’s an update from the Twin Cities National Weather Service: “Several low-topped supercells developed along a warm front across Southern Minnesota Wednesday evening, May 19, 2021. Preliminary reports indicate these storms produced 7 short-lived tornadoes across southern Minnesota. Information on the tornadoes is being gathered, and EF-scale ratings and other statistics will be determined once the information is evaluated. This was a marginal CAPE, marginal wind shear environment with low cloud bases. A strengthening low-level jet led to an increase in low-level wind shear. This was able to...

Fire by the lake
May 12

Limping Into Summer – Deepening Drought Western USA – New Normals – 25th Anniversary of “Twister”, the Movie

Little fire, meet big fire.Paul Douglas It’s May, As In It MAY Warm Up It’s May. As in it MAY be nice. Or it MAY snow a little. Or Flood. Or tornado. May is manic and momentous, a meteorological gateway drug to summer. I’m a summer guy, but there is something to be said for May, before the bugs, jungle-like humidity, sputtering thunderstorms and beachball-size hail. A prologue to summer: a dash of warmth, without all the unpleasant side effects. Mostly-Dry, Mostly-Average Fishing Opener. Although a stray shower can’t be ruled out Saturday, Sunday looks like the wetter day with...

Storm
April 30

Tornado Tip-Offs, Lessons of 2011 Tornado Super-Outbreak, Western Drought Deepens

A Real Warm Front Arrives Saturday With apologies to The Beatles, Minnesota’s transition to summer is a long and winding road, littered with stormy potholes. It often comes down to situational awareness – keeping tabs on the weather pattern and listening for county-specific watches and warnings. But don’t neglect gut feel. In August of ‘09 conditions were ripe for twisters. I remember watching the sky turn green, running down to our dock and taping the formation of a tornado, roughly 5 minutes before the sirens sounded. A green tint to the sky may be the result of large hail. Tornado-producing...

April 21

Tracking 30-Year Climate Average Trends – NOAA: Hot Summer – Debunking Siren Myths

NOAA Climate.gov NOAA Climate.gov Tracking the Trends. NOAA will be shortly releasing (formally) the new 1991-2020 average weather data for the USA. The graphic above shows how much of the USA is trending not only warmer, but wetter over time. The “averages” are reacting to a warming Earth. Looking Warmer. The transition to summer is always a rocky road, but GFS guidance is showing a stronger warm signal for the first week of May as a ridge of high pressure builds over the central U.S. – an “Omega Block” keeping the west and New England unseasonably cool. On March 25,...

April 20

Who Has Seen “Tornado Emergencies” – Outlook: ENSO Neutral – What is “Probability of Precipitation”?

Ethan Sacoransky, Twitter Snowfall Trends. The latest (1991-2020) 30-year climate averages show an apparent increase in snowfall across New England (fueled by a consistently warmer, wetter coastal storms?) with a decrease in snowfall from the Plains into the southwestern USA.   Relatively Cool Start to May? Confidence levels are low this far out (they always are) but GFS guidance suggests a lingering closed low over the Great Lakes 2 weeks out, capable of keeping Minnesota under the influence of a north breeze the first week of May. ENSO PredictionsPhilip Klotzbach, Twitter U.S. Tornado EmergenciesBrady Walker, Twitter Praedictix Tornado Safety Tips....

January 12

Do You Live In One of America’s Riskiest Counties? Record 22 Billion-Dollar Disasters in 2020 Across USA

Header Photo Credit: Paul Douglas A Thaw, Then Accumulating Snow Late Week Minnesota sees its fair share of gasp-worthy weather, but don’t let anyone living in Miami, L.A. or Lincoln give you a hard time. According to FEMA’s National Risk Index, overall threats are greater across the central Plains (tornadoes), coastal areas (hurricanes), and some counties on the west coast, prone to both fire and quakes. Since 1991, January has been the snowiest month of the year for the Twin Cities and southern Minnesota. Across roughly the northern half of the state December is the snowiest month, according to climate analyst...