Tag: Wildfires

September 6

Category 3 “Larry” Brushes Bermuda – Most Climate-Safe US State?

Paul Douglas Minnesota May Benefit From Slow Warming A recent study suggests that Vermont is the most “climate-safe” state in the US. That may be so, but I suspect Minnesota will get its fair share of climate refugees in years to come. How so? Californians worried about wildfires and months of choking smoke. Arizonans concerned about hotter hots and water shortages. Residents of the Gulf Coast unable or unwilling to put up with a parade of increasingly intense and wet hurricanes. Minnesotans will still wrestle with snow, ice and polar pops, but in the Pantheon of Weather Extremes slapping on...

dry field with irrigation system
September 3

Water Stress Increases Need for Reliable Weather Data to Power US Agriculture

“If there is magic on this planet, it is contained in water”, wrote Loren Eiseley. As a meteorologist, that quote has stuck with me over the years. But a warmer, more volatile climate is putting Earth’s hydrological cycle on fast-forward. The wets are trending wetter, the dries are drier. We are faced with too much water – or not nearly enough. The western US is enduring a 1200-year “Megadrought”, made worse by climate change. Cities are running out of water; fires and thick palls of smoke have become a daily fixture on local weather maps; all while a 7-8% increase...

storm over water via unsplash
August 31

Louisiana Left Reeling from “Ida” – Hurricane Strength Was No Surprise to Forecasters – Mandatory Fire Evacuations in Tahoe Basin

Paul Douglas Why September May Offer Year’s Best Weather ”September tries its best to have us forget summer” wrote English philosopher Bernard Williams. I love all the seasons (and the fact that Minnesota HAS 4 seasons) but September is my favorite month of the year. Days are still lukewarm, lakes warm enough for one or two more dips. Severe storms are rare as the noisy blur of summer fades into comfortable days with cotton-ball cumulus and low humidity. That is all fine and good but Minnesota is still too dry and dusty. According to the local DNR “As of this...

August 20

Drought Deepens and Expands – Will Henri Strike New England for First Time in 30 Years?

US Drought Monitor Bringing Back Dusty Memories of 1988 Drought My 91 year old father (Volker) just flew in to meet his new great grandson (Jordan). He was immediately struck by the stress that trees, lawns and crops are experiencing from drought increasingly reminiscent of 1988. My father lives near Philadelphia, where they have been dodging floods and Kansas-size tornadoes. “With rainfall now it’s all or nothing” he observed. That is not far off the mark. The latest US Drought Monitor* shows severe to extreme drought in the metro, with a swath of exceptional drought over the Red River Valley....

August 17

Water Shortages Grow Across Southwestern USA – Top States for Wildfires – Natural Disasters Are…Political?

Precipitation Rank Since April 1 (1=driest on record)Minnesota DNR It’s Probably Best To Make No Assumptions The best assumption is to make no assumptions. This summer is proving to be an inflection point, a teachable moment on how climate flavors the weather.With water restrictions on the Colorado River many can’t assume water will come out when we turn the spigot. With conga lines of wildfires marching across the west throwing off massive smoke plumes we can’t assume skies will be blue and air will always be healthy to breathe. People take pictures of Lake Mead near Hoover Dam on Aug....

April 20

Western USA Primed for Drought and Wildfires – Tornado Safety – Federal Reserve Considers Climate Risks

Spring on Indefinite PauseNOAA GSL Easing Drought Conditions in MinnesotaUS Drought Monitor Drought-Busting Rains. Last week’s soaker made a big difference in the drought index, but pockets of drought remain over far northwest and southwest Minnesota. Minnesota Drought Index TimelineJan Dutton, Twitter Statistically Due for a Drought? Meteorologist Jan Dutton forwarded me the graphic above, showing the last serious, statewide drought in 2013. Springs are trending wetter over time but late summers may be trending drier. Confidence levels for summer precipitation are low, but some long-range climate models suggest a hotter, drier summer for Minnesota and much of the USA....

January 13

Sliding Into a Snowier, Colder Pattern – Using Models to Track Wildfire Smoke

Weather-Related Mental Health Break It is such a relief talking about the weather these days. Even “bad weather” is a welcome break from pandemics and civil unrest. We are extras in a bad Tom Clancy thriller, one that almost makes me long for the good ‘ol days of 2020. Not really. My late mom was a glass-half- full woman. During of our most difficult times growing up she would say “No storm lasts forever. A rainbow always reappears.” Good news can’t arrive soon enough. 18Z Tuesday ECMWF Snowfall Predictionweatherbell.com ECMWF Snowier Than NOAA Models. NOAA’s various NAM models are hinting...

aeris lanos1
September 22

“Medicane” in the Mediterranean Sea – “Teddy” and Likely “Wilfred” Threaten U.S.

2 Weeks Out – Cut Off Low Out East? Minnesota and the western two thirds of the USA are forecast to run milder than average, with a closed low causing clouds and showers (and cooler than normal temperatures) over much of the east. Praedictix Briefing: Issued Thursday morning, September 17th, 2020: Tropical Depression Sally Sally Weakening. While Sally has quickly weakened over the past 24 hours as the system continues to move inland, it is still producing heavy rain across portions of the Southeast this morning. As of 4 AM CDT, the center of Sally was 50 miles southeast of...

Air Quality Map
September 27

Wildfire Map and Air Quality Map Now Available

Changes in air quality can have wide-ranging effects for people, especially for children and sensitive groups, but also for everyone when air quality drops considerably. In May, we announced the addition of the Air Quality endpoints to the AerisWeather API.  Today, as we continue to expand our Air Quality API and datasets, we are announcing a new air quality map layer within the AerisWeather Mapping Platform (AMP).  The layer displays Air Quality Index (AQI) badges for locations globally and allows users to quickly visualize areas of concern.  Additionally, large wildfires can negatively affect local and regional air quality. Therefore, we are...